There is a widespread belief that work is less secure than in the past, that an increasing share of workers are part of the “pprecariat”. It is hard to find much evidence for this in objective measures of job security, but perhaps subjective measures show different trends. This paper shows that in the US, UK, and Germany workers feel as secure as they ever have in the last thirty years. This is partly because job insecurity is very cyclical and (pre-COVID) unemployment rates very low, but there is also no clear underlying trend towards increased subjective measures of job insecurity. This conclusion seems robust to controlling for the changing mix of the labor force, and is true for specific sub-sets of workers.
Monday, May 23, 2022
Via Marginal Revolution, this economics paper abstract:
It would be fascinating to get a chemistry-specific measurement of worker-perceived precarity in chemistry, either firm-specific or field-specific. I imagine that workers of the last 20 years have felt more precarious (especially between 2003-2015 or so). I suspect we're at a relative global minima in "chemist-perceived precarity", but we shall see...